
vs
Grasshoppers vs FC Sion
Tue 15 Sept · 19:00Letzigrund Stadion, Zurich
Home side first and left in every table.
In short
In short
- The call
- FC Sion to win at the Letzigrund. They are 195 rating points stronger, score 2.43 a game in the league and meet a home defence conceding 2.00.
- The one stat
- All seven of Sion's Super League matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Grasshoppers have conceded 14 in seven, 2.00 a game.
- The risk
- Grasshoppers are unbeaten in three, won 1-0 at champions Thun on Saturday and beat Sion 4-3 at home in the cup in February.
- The calls
- Safer: Sion or the draw at 1.23. Riskier: Sion on the -0.5 handicap at 1.80. Four more leans on the board.
The situation
Any Grasshoppers vs FC Sion prediction starts with a table that has already separated them. Sion are third with 15 points from seven matches played (W5 D0 L2) and a goal difference of +6. Grasshoppers are eighth on 8 points from seven (W2 D2 L3), goal difference -4, inside the relegation play-off zone. The rating scale puts 195 points between them in Sion's favour, and our current-strength index reads 67% for Sion against 41% for the hosts.
Neither club is in trouble. Grasshoppers are unbeaten in three and won 1-0 away at reigning champions Thun on Saturday, Samuele Bengondo scoring on 23 minutes. Peter Zeidler, in charge since 4 May, has made one visible change in that run: Marvin Hubel replaced Justin Hammel in goal for the 2-0 win over St Gallen on 2 September and has kept the jersey. Sion have won three straight, the last of them 3-0 at St Gallen, and Didier Tholot has been in the job since the summer of 2023 with a contract now running to 2029. There is no coaching bounce to price on either bench.
This is a rearranged fixture, the fourth round moved from 23 August because Sion were playing a UEFA Conference League play-off against Ajax. They lost it 2-4 at home and 3-5 in Amsterdam and are out of Europe, which leaves both clubs on the same schedule: both played on Saturday, both arrive on three days' rest. Grasshoppers have won one of three home league matches this season and scored five in them; Sion have taken six points from three league away days.
The markets
Double chance
FC Sion or draw
We make Sion or the draw 78%, against the 76% the result prices imply. Sion create 2.20 xG a league game and concede 1.27; Grasshoppers have four points from three home league matches with six conceded.
EvidenceGoals tablexG trendHead-to-head
Asian handicap
FC Sion -0.5
The verdict at its own price: Sion have to win it. Our 55% against the 51% the result prices imply, on 2.33 goals a game from three league away matches and a Grasshoppers home record of one win in three.
EvidenceGoals tablexG trendTeam news
Result & goals
Asian handicap
FC Sion 0Price 1.36
4/5Sion to win with the draw refunded. We make the win 55% against the market's 51%: 2.43 goals a league game, 15 points from seven played, and 195 rating points on a home side eighth in the table.
EvidenceGoals tablexG trendHead-to-head
Total goals
Over 2.5Price 1.48
4/5Seven of seven Sion league matches have gone over 2.5 and four of seven for Grasshoppers, in a league averaging 3.71 goals across 45 matches. We make it 70% against the market's 63%.
EvidenceGoals tableHead-to-head
Both teams to score
YesPrice 1.48
3/5Both sides have scored in five of their seven league matches and neither has failed to score once this season. We make it 68% against the market's 63%; the league runs at 71%.
EvidenceGoals tablexG trend
2nd-half Total goals
Over 1.5Price 1.71
3/5Sion were ahead at the break in 29% of their seven league matches and still won five: the goals arrive after it, on 2.43 a game. We make the second half over 1.5 at 58% against the market's 55%.
EvidenceGoals tablexG trend
Confidence is the desk's conviction, 1–5; each evidence chip jumps to the chart or table behind the lean. Analyzed markets are part of the DeepPreviews membership — free to explore during early access. Prices are indicative market averages, not an offer.
Match sheet
- Kick-off
- 19:00 Zurich time
- Tuesday
- Venue
- Letzigrund Stadion, Zurich
- Rearranged round-four match, moved from 23 August
- Weather
- 24 °C, dry
- Light wind, no rain in the forecast
- Rest
- 3 days vs 3
- Both played on Saturday; both schedules are congested
- League form
- W2 D2 L3 vs W5 D0 L2
- Super League, seven matches each
Part one
Analysis
Three chapters: why the goals lines read best here, what the card count says with no referee appointed, and why the corners stay analysis.
01Goals
Sion score. They have 17 goals in seven Super League matches, 2.43 a game, and every one of those seven went over 2.5 goals. In their three league away matches they have 7 goals from two wins and a defeat, 2.33 a game. Their league xG reads 2.20 created against 1.27 conceded, the widest split on the page.
Grasshoppers do not keep sides out. They have conceded 14 in seven league matches, 2.00 a game, and six in three at the Letzigrund. They do score: 10 in seven, 1.43 a game, and they have not been shut out once in the league this season. Both teams have scored in five of their seven league matches, and in five of Sion's seven.
That is a goals match rather than a tight one. The league is running at 3.71 goals a match across 45 games with 76% over 2.5, and neither of these two depresses it. Over 2.5 is priced at 1.48, which is 63% to the market; the per-game figures put it nearer 70%. Both teams to score at 1.48 rests on the same rows. The 3.5 line is where it stops being a lean: three of Sion's seven league matches finished with exactly three goals.
One shape matters more than the totals. Sion were ahead at half-time in only two of their seven league matches and still won five of them. Grasshoppers led at the break in three of seven and have eight points to show for it. The visitors' damage arrives after the hour, which is why the second-half goals line reads better here than anything before the interval.
Sion score 2.43 a league game and Grasshoppers concede 2.00 at home: all seven of Sion's Super League matches this season went over 2.5 goals.
Sample: Super League 2026/27, 7 matches each; venue splits from 3 home and 3 away
| Metric | GrasshoppersHome | FC SionAway |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per game | 1.431.67 at home | 2.432.33 away |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.02.0 at home | 1.571.67 away |
| xG created per game | 1.75 | 2.2 |
| xG conceded per game | 1.82 | 1.27 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 100% |
| Ahead at half-time | 43% | 29% |
Bold marks the better figure in each row. Small numbers are the venue split: the home side at home, the away side away.
Sion created more than they allowed in four of these five league matches; Grasshoppers managed it in two of five.
Sample: This season's Super League matches with xG recorded, 5 each
GrasshoppersHome
avg xG 1.75 · avg xGA 1.82
1–1D
Lausanne (A)
1–4L
FC Lugano (H)
2–1L
Servette FC (A)
5–2L
FC Vaduz (A)
2–0W
FC ST. Gallen (H)
FC SionAway
avg xG 2.20 · avg xGA 1.27
4–2L
BSC Young Boys (A)
3–0W
FC Luzern (H)
3–2W
FC Vaduz (H)
1–2L
FC Lugano (H)
1–2W
FC Basel 1893 (A)
xG forxG againstOldest match on the left.
Eight competitive meetings, four Sion wins to three and a draw, 2.88 goals a match. Sion won 4-0 at the Letzigrund in April; Grasshoppers took the cup tie 4-3 in February.
3
Grasshoppers
1
Draws
4
FC Sion
6 Apr 2026·Super League
Grasshoppers0–4FC Sion3 Feb 2026·Schweizer Cup
Grasshoppers4–3FC Sion13 Dec 2025·Super League
FC Sion1–0Grasshoppers19 Oct 2025·Super League
Grasshoppers0–1FC Sion17 May 2025·Super League
FC Sion2–1Grasshoppers16 Mar 2025·Super League
Grasshoppers1–1FC Sion18 Jan 2025·Super League
FC Sion0–1Grasshoppers24 Aug 2024·Super League
Grasshoppers3–1FC Sion
Home side listed first. Winner in bold.
What this supports
Full board ↑Double chance
FC Sion or drawSafer
Price 1.234/5Asian handicap
FC Sion 0
Price 1.364/5Asian handicap
FC Sion -0.5Riskier
Price 1.803/5Total goals
Over 2.5
Price 1.484/5Both teams to score
Yes
Price 1.483/52nd-half Total goals
Over 1.5
Price 1.713/5
02Cards
No referee has been appointed, so this chapter is the two teams alone. Grasshoppers' seven Super League matches have produced 5.4 cards each, above the league's 4.76 across 45 games, and over 3.5 cards landed in four of the seven. They take 2.7 of those themselves.
Sion are the calmer side by a distance: 3.9 cards in their league matches, over 3.5 in three of seven, and only 1.4 of their own. That is the profile of a team that leads more often than it chases, and it is the one number on the page where the away side's discipline, not its quality, does the work. No cards market is priced for this fixture, so the chapter stays analysis: expect a count near five, weighted towards the home side.
Grasshoppers' league matches average 5.4 cards against the league's 4.76; Sion's average 3.9 and they collect only 1.4 of them.
Sample: Super League 2026/27, 7 matches each
| Metric | GrasshoppersHome | FC SionAway |
|---|---|---|
| Cards shown to them per game | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Cards shown to opponents per game | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Cards in their matches per game | 5.4 | 3.9 |
| Matches over 3.5 cards | 57% | 43% |
Bold marks the better figure in each row.
03Corners
Corners describe the same match from the other end. Grasshoppers' seven league matches have averaged 12.6 corners, over 9.5 in five of them, and the split is lopsided: 5.6 won against 7.0 conceded. That is a side spending long spells defending its own box, which fits a team taking 15.7 shots a game and facing 14.9.
Sion's league matches average 10.9 with over 9.5 in six of seven, 5.9 won against 5.0 conceded, from 16.9 shots for and 13.4 against. The league average is 10.62 across 45 matches. The count should land above it again, with the home side taking the smaller share; corners stay analysis here and carry no lean.
Grasshoppers concede 7.0 corners a league game against 5.6 won, inside a 12.6-corner average; Sion's matches run at 10.9.
Sample: Super League 2026/27, 7 matches each
| Metric | GrasshoppersHome | FC SionAway |
|---|---|---|
| Corners won per game | 5.6 | 5.9 |
| Corners conceded per game | 7.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners in their matches per game | 12.6 | 10.9 |
| Matches over 9.5 corners | 71% | 86% |
Bold marks the better figure in each row.
04The numbers that matter
- 195
- rating points between the two sides
- Sion 1718 against Grasshoppers 1523. Home advantage is worth roughly 60 to 80 points on that scale, so more than half the gap survives the venue.
- 7 of 7
- Sion league matches over 2.5 goals
- Their seven Super League games have produced 28 goals between the two sides, 4.0 a match, against a league average of 3.71.
- 2.00
- goals Grasshoppers concede per league game
- Fourteen in seven, and six in three at the Letzigrund. Only two clean sheets in the league all season.
- 2 of 7
- Sion league matches led at half-time
- They still won five of the seven. The visitors' second-half weighted average is 1.38 goals scored against 0.49 conceded.
Every angle describes the same match. A stronger side that scores heavily, a home side that concedes two a game, and a total that sits above a league already averaging 3.71 goals. The gap is not a narrative: 195 rating points and 26 points of current-strength index, earned inside the same division against the same opponents.
Part two
Who plays, and how
One doubt in the Grasshoppers back line, one absence for Sion, and two XIs that both won on Saturday.
05Team news
Hajrizi's muscle injury is Sion's only listed absence; Mikulic is a doubt for Grasshoppers, with Meyer and von Moos also carrying knocks.
GrasshoppersHome
Luka MikulicDF
knock
Result
DoubtfulTim MeyerMF
knock
Result
DoubtfulJulian von MoosFW
leg injury
Goals
Out
FC SionAway
Kreshnik HajriziDF
muscle injury, due back late September
Result
Out
Dots = impact on the starting XI (1 squad depth, 3 key starter); tags name the markets the absence moves. Squad and injury listings checked on 14 September against the XIs both clubs named on Saturday. Kenzo Goudmijn joined Grasshoppers on loan on 8 September.
06Expected XI
Both coaches are expected to repeat Saturday's winners: Zeidler's 4-3-3 with Hubel in goal, Tholot's 4-2-3-1 with Boteli alone up front.
GrasshoppersHome
Peter Zeidler
FC SionAway
Didier Tholot
Goalkeeper first, then each line left to right. Both XIs are the ones named on 12 September.
07Shape and plan
The match turns after the hour
Sion led at half-time in two of seven league matches and won five of them. Their weighted season averages read 1.38 goals scored after the break against 0.49 conceded; Grasshoppers' read 0.56 scored and 1.13 conceded. Both sides have played the same number of minutes this week, and the visitors are the ones built to use the last half hour.
Hubel behind a rebuilt centre
Zeidler dropped Justin Hammel for Marvin Hubel on 2 September and has kept him for the derby and the win at Thun. Yannick Bettkober and Bujar Pllana were the centre-backs at the Arena Thun with Luka Mikulic listed as a doubt. Grasshoppers have two clean sheets in seven league matches and have conceded six in three at home.
Boteli alone, three runners behind
Tholot's 4-2-3-1 puts Winsley Boteli on the last line with Ilyas Chouaref, Donat Rrudhani and Franck Surdez behind him. Chouaref, Surdez and Ali Kabacalman scored the three at St Gallen. Sion take 16.9 shots a league game and allow 13.4; Grasshoppers take 15.7 and allow 14.9, so the difference is in what the shots are worth, not how many there are.
The Letzigrund is not an equaliser
Grasshoppers have four points from three home league matches (W1 D1 L1), five scored and six conceded. Sion have six from three league away days (W2 L1), seven scored and five conceded. The last league meeting here finished 0-4 in April.
08Three duels
Samuele Bengondo
Grasshoppers · FW
Scored the winner at Thun from Guibelalde's spilled shot. He is the one Grasshoppers forward attacking the space between centre-backs rather than in front of them.
Winner on 23 minutes at Thun
Amir Abrashi
Grasshoppers · MF
The tempo and the fouls both sit with him. Grasshoppers' league matches average 5.4 cards and he is the reference point in a midfield three that has to press without breaking.
Nico Rissi
Grasshoppers · RB
A forward by trade playing right-back, and the side Surdez attacks. Grasshoppers concede 7.0 corners a league game, most of them from this flank.
Jan Kronig
FC Sion · DF
The half of Sion's centre-back pair that steps out. Sion concede 1.27 xG a league game, the lowest figure on the page, and he picks up Bengondo.
Baltazar Costa
FC Sion · MF
Sion's tempo setter alongside Kabacalman. Against a 4-3-3 that presses in threes, his first pass decides whether the visitors play through or around it.
Franck Surdez
FC Sion · FW
Scored on the stroke of half-time at St Gallen and works the left side Rissi has to defend. Sion's 2.43 goals a league game come from this band, not from the striker alone.
Scored in the 3-0 at St Gallen
Part three
The call
Our verdict: how the match most likely goes, the score we would write down, and what would change our mind.
09How it could go
Three ways this match goes
Chance of each, out of 100 — most likely first
- 55%chanceMost likely
Sion take it after the break
A close first half, as five of Sion's seven league matches have been, then the visitors turn it: 1.38 second-half goals a game against a home side conceding 1.13 after the interval. Grasshoppers score once, as they have in all seven league matches, and it finishes 1-2 or 1-3.
- 23%chance
Grasshoppers hold on for a point
The hosts have drawn two of seven league matches and led at half-time in three. Bengondo gets in behind early, Hubel keeps his third clean sheet of the run going long enough, and Sion's habit of trailing at the break costs them the second goal. 1-1 or 2-2.
- 22%chance
The Letzigrund upset
It has happened in this fixture: 4-3 in the cup in February. Grasshoppers won 1-0 at champions Thun on Saturday on five shots on target, and Sion have lost two of seven league matches. One early goal and a 20-minute spell is all it needs.
The chances are the desk's judgement, not market prices; together they add up to 100.
Sion have gone over 2.5 goals in all seven of their league matches and Grasshoppers have conceded two a game at home. The gap is 195 rating points, and the scoreboard usually reads it correctly.
10The verdict
Sion have too much of everything
We make it Sion 55%, the draw 23%, Grasshoppers 22%, against the market's 51%, 25% and 24% - agreement rather than an argument. Neither club is in crisis: Grasshoppers are unbeaten in three and won at champions Thun on Saturday, Sion have won three in a row. Both benches are settled, Peter Zeidler since 4 May and Didier Tholot since 2023 with a contract to 2029, so there is no coaching bounce either way. Team news does not move it: Kreshnik Hajrizi's muscle injury is Sion's only listed absence and they have won three straight without him, while Luka Mikulic's knock leaves Grasshoppers with the centre-back pair that already kept a clean sheet at Thun. What decides it is level. Sion score 2.43 goals a league game and create 2.20 xG against 1.27 conceded; Grasshoppers concede 2.00 a league game and 2.00 at home. Sion by a goal, and both sides score.
What would change our mind
- If Mikulic is passed fit and Grasshoppers keep Bettkober alongside him, shade the goals leans down a notch.
- If Tholot rests Boteli or Chouaref on three days' rest, the -0.5 handicap loses its best argument.
- If Grasshoppers lead at half-time, as they have in three of seven league matches, the second-half over 1.5 lean strengthens rather than weakens.
Quick answers
- Who is favourite for Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
- FC Sion. The market prices them at 1.81 against 3.85 for Grasshoppers, with the draw at 3.74. Sion are third with 15 points from seven matches played (W5 D0 L2); Grasshoppers are eighth on 8 points from seven (W2 D2 L3) and in the relegation play-off zone. The rating scale separates them by 195 points.
- What is the predicted score for Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
- Grasshoppers 1-2 FC Sion. Sion have scored 2.43 goals per Super League match this season and 2.33 in their three league away games; Grasshoppers have conceded 2.00 per league match and 6 in three at the Letzigrund. All seven of Sion's league matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
- Who is missing for Grasshoppers and FC Sion?
- FC Sion list Kreshnik Hajrizi out with a muscle injury into late September. Grasshoppers have Luka Mikulic as a doubt with a knock, Tim Meyer carrying one and Julian von Moos out with a leg injury. Marvin Hubel keeps the goalkeeper's jersey ahead of Justin Hammel, a selection call Peter Zeidler made on 2 September.
- What is the head-to-head record between Grasshoppers and FC Sion?
- Eight competitive meetings: Sion have won four, Grasshoppers three, with one draw and 2.88 goals per match. Sion won 4-0 at the Letzigrund in April 2026; Grasshoppers won 4-3 at home in the Swiss Cup in February 2026. Both teams scored in four of the eight.
- Why is Grasshoppers vs FC Sion played on a Tuesday?
- It is a rearranged round-four Super League fixture. The original date of 23 August clashed with Sion's UEFA Conference League play-off against Ajax, which Sion lost 2-4 at home and 3-5 away. The rescheduled match kicks off at 19:00 at the Letzigrund on Tuesday 15 September.
Written 14 Sept 2026, 18:50 · Updated 14 Sept 2026, 18:50 UTC.
AI-generated match analysis for information and entertainment. Prices are indicative market averages, never an offer. Spotted an error? Tell the desk.
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